CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-07-16T08:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-07-16T08:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/31985/-1
CME Note: Faint CME visible to the NW in SOHO LASCO C2/C3. It is not clearly visible in STEREO A COR2 white light imagery, and may be obscured by the instrument pylon. The potential source is an M3.6 flare peaking at 2024-07-16T07:37Z from Active Region 3753 (approx. N10W25). There is a data gap in SDO imagery from approximately 2024-07-16T07:07Z to 2024-07-16T07:47Z, but following this gap, post-eruptive arcades and dimming can be seen in SDO AIA 193. The eruption is also visible in GOES SUVI and STEREO A EUV imagery. No clear CME arrival signature seen in solar wind.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-07-20T10:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -4114.93 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z
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